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The "Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc" Fallacy

Definition:

Post hoc ergo propter hoc - "Post hoc ergo propter hoc" is Latin for "After this, therefore because of this" or in other words "If B happened after A, then A must have caused B to happen". The "Post hoc ergo propter hoc" fallacy is a common mistake in the diagnosis and treatment of medical and psychological conditions.

Description:

"Post hoc ergo propter hoc" is Latin for "After this, therefore because of this" or in other words "If event B happens after event A, then A must have caused B to happen".

Examples of the "post hoc ergo propter hoc" fallacy:

  • A train always passes after the railroad crossing alarm sounds and the gates come down. Therefore the railroad crossing causes the train to pass.
  • I wore my purple sweater and my team won against all the odds. Therefore I am going to wear that sweater to every game.
  • Most divorced couples go to see a therapist before they separate. Therefore going to see a therapist will increase the chances that you will get a divorce.
  • Children of divorce, on average, perform poorer academically. Therefore, if you get a divorce you will hurt your child's chances of going to college.
  • Since we moved in together she has become very depressed. I feel like I've ruined her life.
  • Since I stopped smoking we haven't had an argument. Who knew the answer could have been so simple?

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